Bilal Hasan's reach is now listed by UFCStats and UFC.com (70 inches; Luis Gurule 64). His Form Line moves from 78.6% to 81.1%. The 78.6% was the model's output while his reach was blank in our data, when the model reads reach as equal. The tale of the tape now shows his reach, and he now qualifies for the "Reach advantage 4"+" angle. His stance, and the reach of Bia Mesquita and Juan Diaz, stay "not listed": the two sources do not show matching values. No betting recommendation and no graded record changes.
On two past fights the closing line we showed came from a price snapshot taken after the bout had started, so it reflected live betting:
| Fight | Close as shown since Nov 10 | Close now |
|---|---|---|
| Erin Blanchfield vs Jasmine Jasudavicius (Oct 17, 2026) | 73.1% Blanchfield (Oct 18, 01:55 UTC) | 73.9% Blanchfield (Oct 17, 21:55 UTC, US-regulated books) |
| Farid Basharat vs John Garza (Jul 11, 2026) | 83.1% Basharat (Jul 11, 21:55 UTC) | No archive close: we have no US-regulated price from before the fight. The card table falls back to the BettingPros consensus (-650 / +450). |
Both now use only prices from before each bout's scheduled start. What else moves: the card page's "model minus market" column (Blanchfield +4.2 becomes +3.4; Basharat +2.8 becomes +3.2) and the market column of the Duration Model grading for Blanchfield (73.1% becomes 73.9%). No betting recommendation and no graded bet record changes. Other fights may have the same problem where our archive has no bout-level start time; we have not changed those.
Two errors in the Form model's distance numbers, public since November 10:
Kayla Harrison vs Amanda Nunes is a five-round title fight, but its Form numbers were built as a three-round fight. "Goes the distance" was shown as 50.4%; on the five-round basis it is 43.0%.
Ciryl Gane vs Josh Hokit: interim heavyweight title fights were left out of the heavyweight history behind the division's decision rate. Counting them, "Goes the distance" moves from 28.1% to 27.5%.
Win percentages did not change. Across past cards, the same fix moves 16 fights' distance numbers by more than 1 point (8 by more than 3, all interim title fights); none of these feed a pick or a graded record.
Cards: October 10, October 17, October 24 (UFC 333), October 31 and November 7, 2026.
We re-checked the listed price behind each edge on these cards against US-regulated sportsbooks in the 24 hours before each fight. On 23 fight lines, the listed price was better than any of those books offered. Re-figured at the best regulated price:
| Fighter | Listed | Best regulated | Edge as shown | Edge re-figured | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niko Price | +130 | +122 | +1.3% | -0.3% | changes sign |
| Joel Faglier | -125 | -130 | +0.8% | -0.1% | changes sign |
| Tanner Boser | +200 | +176 | +3.3% | +0.4% | falls below 2% |
| Luana Santos | -300 | -323 | -1.3% | -2.7% | moves past -2% |
| Tatiana Suarez | -188 | -192 | +2.2% | +1.7% | falls below 2% |
The other 18 kept their sign and stayed on the same side of 2%. None of the 23 crosses a betting threshold (favorites 3%, underdogs 8%).
Graded picks. Two graded picks used one of these prices, Loopy Godinez (-225) and Tatiana Suarez (-188). Both won. Favorites are graded to win 1 unit, so the record and units are unchanged. The risk shown should have been 2.38 units for Godinez (not 2.25) and 1.92 units for Suarez (not 1.88).
Not checkable. Another 19 listed prices could not be checked because our price archive had no regulated price near fight time.
Going forward. From UFC 334, a listed price not seen at a US-regulated sportsbook in the 24 hours before we publish is marked "price unverified", and its edge is not coloured.